Predicting Gentrification in Houston’s Low- and Moderate-Income Neighborhoods

City and community leaders in Houston have a strong interest in knowing which of the city’s low- and moderate-income neighborhoods are at risk of gentrification, a process of economic change that results from the in-migration of households with higher education and income levels than the people who already reside there.  If accompanied by rising property values, this process can lead to displacement of low-income residents who can no longer afford to pay increased rents or rising taxes on the homes they own.

To support local decisions on the allocation of scarce housing subsidies, LISC research staff developed a predictive model to show where gentrification in Houston is most likely to occur.

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